Collapse of Russia's Ministry of Defence in real-time
MoD mafia headed by Defence Minister Shoigu and his deputies overreached. Now they are likely to face treason charges for leaking nuclear secrets to people abroad in their embezzlement scheme.
PART 1 - April 26th: Wild revelations from Vladimir Osechkin's sources on Timur Ivanov's role in Yevgeny Prigozhin's rebellion & demise. Arrest of Ivanov is Putin's retribution. Shoigu's fall is likely coming.
Prigozhin went nuts and attempted his coup after the MoD continued the constant squeeze on him - first withholding prisoner recruitment, then cutting off his MoD budget, and finally cutting off munitions. (Relevant video) Of course Putin had to kill Prigozhin for his attempted coup, BUT- Putin had Patrushev (Security Council) and Bortnikov (FSB) conduct a post-mortem assessment [pun intended] of what really caused Prigozhin to go loco, as he was one of Putin's most trusted & loyal people.
They discovered how Ivanov & Shoigu did in fact gradually choke off all MoD support from Prigozhin, just as Prigozhin was saying was happening but Putin wouldn't listen to him, probably because Shoigu deceived Putin by claiming that Prigozhin was lying about his ‘artificial shell hunger.’ (Relevant video)
Then after Putin had Prigozhin killed for the rebellion, Ivanov, with Shoigu's blessing, sent a significant team (Redut PMC) from the MoD to Africa and started to systemically steal Prigozhin's assets there including gold mines and oil & gas fields.
As a result, Patrushev and Bortnikov realized that this was Deputy Defence Minister Ivanov's premeditated plan - to destroy Prigozhin one way or another to steal all his assets - billion of dollars. A plan that was enabled by Shoigu but executed by Ivanov, and hidden from Putin.
Putin now blames Ivanov for provoking Prigozhin into betrayal through the June 23 2023 rebellion and his 'March on Moscow.' The artificial shell famine that Prigozhin complained so much about was traced directly to Timur Ivanov at the MoD. (Relevant video from May 2023)
Shoigu is now also in grave risk of retribution from Putin for what happened to Prigozhin. So far unclear how he will be dealt with, but quite possible Putin will use his upcoming inauguration and the new 6-year term as an excuse to replace Shoigu as Defence Minister.
PART 2 - April 26th: Russia's Deputy Defence Minister Timur Ivanov was in charge of financing construction projects for the MoD. Osechkin learned that Ivanov & Shoigu's corruption may have influenced the timing of the invasion of Ukraine. But first, how the embezzlement scheme worked -
Unfinished Production (НЗП) is a budgetary category of construction projects in the MoD that were not completed for whatever reason. The incomplete construction projects are handed off from the original contractor to someone else, so the total cost to complete is higher.
Example: If a new construction (0% complete) is budgeted for $5M, the completion of Unfinished Production construction is more expensive, and the allocated budget is 1.5 to 2 times higher. A 20% complete construction above could have a budget of $8M, making the total $9M (1+8).
Ivanov's scheme, in which of course Defence Minister Shoigu himself was also involved: Initially contract an MoD construction to a naïve but capable company, selling them hopes of lucrative future contracts for successful completion. Ivanov would give an advance payment of 20%.
The construction contractor is excited to have the Ministry of Defence as the client, and aggressively works to get the construction completed properly.
But at 90% completion, Ivanov at MoD would pull the rug from under the contractor and only 'accept' the work completed on the advance that was paid, which was just 20%.
The mark (contractor) is then discarded, or if he doesn't 'get it,' and tries to fight the injustice, he is either killed or thrown in jail on fabricated charges, where the prosecutors / investigators are conveniently part of the Ivanov/Shoigu mafia.
So now, Ivanov has a nearly complete construction (90%), but according to accounting, it is only 20% complete. Ivanov then contracts his own construction partners, one of whom has now been arrested - Alexander Fomin of OlympCityStroy.
In just 2023, Alexander Fomin's company OlympCityStroy had a revenue of over ₽65 billion ($706 million), most of which came from Defence Ministry contracts handed out by Ivanov. Fomin has been flipped and is now cooperating with the investigation to bury Ivanov.
Example - a 90% complete $5M project fraudulently listed as just 20% complete on the MoD books is handed off to Fomin by Ivanov, with double the budget for the remaining 80% that needs completion - $8M. Fomin completes the remaining 10% for $1M and they steal the rest - $7M.
The current investigation against Ivanov is likely to lead to mass arrests and charges & won't be about just for corruption but for racketeering by an organized criminal organization. Over 1,000 contracts were part of this Incomplete Projects scheme with countless victims.
Now this gets crazy: Timur Ivanov was interrogated as part of an investigation into this scheme in the summer of 2021 when several of the 'marks' (contractors who got scammed) were thrown in jail by Ivanov but became cooperating victims/witnesses for investigators against Ivanov.
This 2021 investigation became a huge problem for not just Ivanov but also Defence Minister Shoigu himself, who has been profiting off of this racketeering scheme, as well as for Tsalikov, another Deputy Defence Minister. They desperately needed to stop this investigation.
According to Osechkin's sources, in 2021 Shoigu made Military Intelligence under the command of the General Staff fabricate countless reports for Putin which painted an apocalyptic picture: in the coming months NATO ground forces would enter Ukraine to de-occupy Donbas.
The false reports to Putin about NATO to instigate a crisis and a war to halt the investigation into their corruption worked, facilitating the start of the large-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Shoigu and his mafia urgently needed this war to get rid of the corruption investigation against them.
Shoigu knows Putin well, and he was convinced Putin would not change horses midstream if they started a war against Ukraine. Not only did Shoigu manage to get rid of the 2021 corruption investigation against them by manipulating Putin, his MoD budget skyrocketed with the war.
UPDATE: Russian Deputy Defence Minister Ruslan Tsalikov has now been interrogated concerning the embezzlement scheme that allowed them to steal tens of billions of dollars from the MoD budget over the years.
Deputy Defence Minister Goremykin is probably next, given his close personal ties with Timur Ivanov. The question is - can Putin afford to purge the entire top echelon of the Defence Ministry?
UPDATE: Vladimir Osechkin jokingly offered to evacuate Deputy Defence Minister Tsalikov to safety in the West. Tsalikov is about to be thrown into the infamous Lefortofo prison in a cell adjacent to Ivanov. "Place of meeting - on April 27 from 12 to 13:00 on the ring branch of the Moscow Metro. Instructions for Ruslan: no military uniform, better headgear like a baseball cap, glasses, do not take more than 1 bag, take selfies from one of the stations on the ring line and send them to gulagunett on gmail with a phone number for communication in Tg, further instructions will be sent in a private message."
UPDATE: Person claiming to be Deputy Defence Minister Tsalikov emailed Vladimir Osechkin -
"Date: Sat, Apr 27. 2024 at 12:__
Subject: Rus Lan
To: Gulagu-Net Official channel gulagunett @ gmail. com
Hello Vladimir.
I couldn't.
Please understand me correctly. Thank you for wanting to help, but I can't. Understand me correctly, I am an old sick man, in July I will be 68, now my lawyers and I are collecting documents from doctors, they assure me that under no circumstances will I be taken into custody with such a bouquet of diseases. You surely know how I pass the military medical examination [insinuation of bribery]. As much as I could, I tried to keep Sergei [Shoigu] and Timur [Ivanov] in line, but lately they stopped listening to me. Now tell me, why would he [Ivanov] buy a Bentley? What about an Aston Martin?
A Harley Davidson motorcycle? Where would he ride it? In the Lefortovo [prison] exercise yard?
And why would he need an apartment in Mexico? And the size of 350m². No, Vladimir, I'm too old to understand that. We either call them Pindos [derogatory term for Americans] and prepare for war, or we buy apartments next door to them and drive their cars. By the way, he also has an American Hummer, not a UAZ.
And I have questions for you. Why did you have to announce the offer of my evacuation on YouTube? Are you trying to give me a heart attack? And what will my children and more than 30 tenants of their office and luxury apartments think about me now? Do you realize that they will now skip paying rent and we will have no money to put gas in our cars?
You know better than I do that I don't ride the subway and I don't have a Troika card. You could have set up a meeting at Chaikhona or Barvikha Luxury Village. Or worst case at Crocus, where there are no cops or FSB.
In general, let's do it this way. I will try to "solve the issue" myself here with the chief, especially since Bortnikov is my neighbor and I know more about him and his children than their wives.
I will not write any more in the near future, provided that this letter remains between us, I will send you a nice donation in May. Buy yourself a Bentley convertible like Timur's, try to drive it and understand his train of thought and logic.
And yes, I'm not going to the Hague. I personally have not committed war crimes, and outside of prison I'm likely to be killed by an old man with Novichok. So I'd better stay here for the time being, and maybe I'll buy out Timur and get him under house arrest, or rather cottage arrest. We've solved more than that.
This is the end of the line and I wish you Caucasian longevity,
Р.Ц."
Osechkin received complaints via email from Russian security service personnel that he spoiled their weekend. After he jokingly offered to evacuate Tsalikov - they were dispatched to surveil all subway stations around Moscow in case Tsalikov showed up.
PART 3 - April 28: Russian Defence Minister Shoigu and his deputies Tsalikov & Ivanov likely to face state treason charges for leaking nuclear secrets. Raids on Ivanov & his accomplices in the FSB yielded data on classified military projects including nuclear installations. Osechkin received these files discovered during the raid from his source in the FSB because the heads of the FSB wanted to cover up the discovery of this classified information in the possession of Ivanov's FSB accomplices and the fact that classified nuclear information was sent abroad by the MoD mafia. The heads of the FSB wanted to exclude all this information from the investigative file in the case against Ivanov. Now that Osechkin is making this information public, they can't.
Shoigu's MoD mafia generously transmitted the highly classified information and schematics of nuclear missile installations to their accomplices including those outside Russia as part of their construction budget embezzlement scheme.
The files list the status of hundreds of top secret military projects with a column with values of 'Truth' or 'Lie' - in order to distinguish which project statuses are safe for disclosure to Putin, in case he were to send an inspector to the construction location.
These classified documents were recovered during recent raids from electronic devices belonging to Deputy Defence Minister Ivanov and his FSB accomplices in the embezzlement scheme. Osechkin then received these files from his source in the FSB.
Osechkin says the total sum of embezzlement by the Shoigu mafia from the Russian MoD budget over the years is in trillions of rubles - tens of billions of US dollars. They stole 50%-60% of the construction budget for thousands of projects. For reference, MoD budget in 2021: $66B
Many heads are expected to roll at the Defence Ministry, the FSB, and probably even in the Presidential Administration.
Join the discussion on Twitter -
Part 1: https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1783814129436016682
Part 2: https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1783857222029803546
Part 3: https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1784838877657907403
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